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Picture of Shinmen Takezo
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quote:
And why don't y'all lighten the fuck up?


I don't think you understand.. it's time to give hate a chance.
 
Posts: 7150 | Registered: August 15, 2014Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Picture of Shinmen Takezo
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What’s Next for the Urban Insurgencies

https://forwardobserver.com/wh...-urban-insurgencies/

For the past couple months, I’ve been hitting some old counterinsurgency standby’s. The last time I read most of the these manuals and books was prior to deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan.

Somehow insurgency followed us back.

Given that the reelection of President Trump is likely to blow wide open these urban insurgencies, it’s long past time for us to begin or continue learning about the cat and mouse of the insurgent and counterinsurgent. In this case, anarchist insurrectionists are trying to foment a broader insurgency against local, state, and federal government.

In his book Counterinsurgency Warfare, author David Galula outlines six strengths and weaknesses that determine the potential for a successful counterinsurgency campaign. I’ll list them below with some brief notes on the current situation.

1. Galula writes that an absence of problems in a country makes insurgency virtually impossible. Since there is no absence of problems — we have both real and artificial problems in this country — an insurgency was virtually inevitable as soon as local, state, and federal governments were weakened, as they are now.

2. Next, a national consensus against insurgents is a strength that this country currently lacks. There’s no national consensus on anything, and there’s substantial support for the insurgents, which strengthens the urban insurgencies.

3. Resoluteness of counterinsurgent leadership is the next strength or weakness. The Trump administration currently has the resolve to wage counterinsurgency, but there’s been opposition from state and local governments. The insurgents’ political and social efforts will focus on degrading the administration’s capacity to execute a counterinsurgency campaign, increasingly so after President Trump’s potential reelection. (The activism against ICE in previous years is a good example.) The Trump administration will face significant problems in instituting a whole-of-government approach, likely leading the administration to take more deliberate or extreme actions, which will increase accusations of fascism.

4. A major factor in any outcome is the counterinsurgents’ knowledge of counterinsurgency warfare. The Trump administration will rely on those with experience in Iraq, Afghanistan, and other places where a shaky counterinsurgency strategy was unevenly applied. Regardless of strategy, defeating urban insurgencies could become a multi-year process in places like Portland and Seattle, as America experiences its own version of the “Irish Troubles” — albeit not an exact comparison.

5. The machine for control of the population includes four factors which a second Trump administration could lack: the political structure (x), the administrative bureaucracy (x), the police (✓), the armed forces (x/✓). If reelected, President Trump will either face a split Congress or a Democratic majority in both the House and Senate, and lack control of the political structure. The Trump administration doesn’t have control of the administrative bureaucracy now and is likely to lack control in a second term. The Trump administration will likely retain control over most federal law enforcement, and is likely to have influence over some local and state law enforcement — that’s certainly less the case in areas where there’s local political support for the insurgencies. Army Secretary Mark Esper and GEN Mark Milley, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, last month demurred at the deployment of regular Army troops to confront rioters. Esper and Milley can be replaced with military officials who are more amenable to using the military to put down insurrections, but Democrat-majority Congress would cast doubt on how effective the use of armed forces would be.

6. The sixth and final factor is geographic conditions. These insurrections will primarily occur in urban areas, regardless if they trigger a national insurgency. The most important thing we learned about fighting against urban insurgents in Iraq and Afghanistan is that the counterinsurgency effort can be incredibly disruptive to the city.

Both sides are vying for support of the populace, so the insurgent must develop and propagandize a cause that will garner popular support — this is where the overall effort is won or lost.

These are some initial thoughts on what we could be looking at for at least the next four years, based on Galula’s factors presented in Counterinsurgency Warfare. These are not predictions, of course, but I do hope these initial thoughts are helpful in understanding the future.

If you want a daily look at how these conditions are developing, sign up for my daily Early Warning intelligence brief.

These daily intel briefs keep readers informed of new developments, and move them past situational awareness to situational understanding.

You can stay reliably informed on the people, groups, and events threatening the country with Early Warning.

Until next time, stay out front.

Always Out Front,

Samuel Culper
 
Posts: 7150 | Registered: August 15, 2014Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Tardigrade A+
Picture of ANGRY RAGEHEAD
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by Shinmen Takezo:
quote:
And why don't y'all lighten the fuck up?


I don't think you understand.. it's time to give hate a chance.


Hate is an emotion. Being emotional in dangerous situations will get you hurt.
 
Posts: 1469 | Location: Vagina Gulch | Registered: April 08, 2013Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Picture of JimmyB.
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chill guys

 
Posts: 2095 | Location:  | Registered: April 23, 2015Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Picture of Shinmen Takezo
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Posts: 7150 | Registered: August 15, 2014Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Picture of JimmyB.
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by Shinmen Takezo:
Feeeeeeel the love... and peace...

https://twitter.com/ScooterCas.../1302060108898357257


Oregon state police have OFFICIALLY been deputized by US MARSHALLS!

https://www.investmentwatchblo...zed-by-us-marshalls/

Needs to happen everywhere then the feds can over rule the local pussies..
 
Posts: 2095 | Location:  | Registered: April 23, 2015Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Tardigrade A+
Picture of ANGRY RAGEHEAD
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quote:
Originally posted by JimmyB.:
chill guys



quote:
Hippos are aggressive and are considered very dangerous. They have large teeth and tusks that they use for fighting off threats, including humans. Sometimes, their young fall victim to adult hippos' tempers. During a fight between two adults, a young hippo caught in the middle can be seriously hurt or even crushed.


1beer1
 
Posts: 1469 | Location: Vagina Gulch | Registered: April 08, 2013Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Tardigrade A+
Picture of ANGRY RAGEHEAD
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Lol that Mama Hippo has the same expression my Junebug gets when looking after something she cares about. Usually food or a toy.
 
Posts: 1469 | Location: Vagina Gulch | Registered: April 08, 2013Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Fifth Column Freeper
Picture of MAXIMUS PANDAMONIUS
posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by ANGRY RAGEHEAD:
quote:
Originally posted by JimmyB.:
chill guys



quote:
Hippos are aggressive and are considered very dangerous. They have large teeth and tusks that they use for fighting off threats, including humans. Sometimes, their young fall victim to adult hippos' tempers. During a fight between two adults, a young hippo caught in the middle can be seriously hurt or even crushed.


1beer1



Very sweet
 
Posts: 10433 | Registered: September 24, 2009Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Picture of JimmyB.
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Yes Hippos are one of Africas deadliest animals.Looks are deceiving..
Just remember that if you bump into me on the street,Mr. Humble Lovable Little Shoe Shine Boy!!
 
Posts: 2095 | Location:  | Registered: April 23, 2015Reply With QuoteReport This Post



Picture of Shinmen Takezo
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Posts: 7150 | Registered: August 15, 2014Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Picture of Shinmen Takezo
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Posts: 7150 | Registered: August 15, 2014Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Tardigrade A+
Picture of ANGRY RAGEHEAD
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Posts: 1469 | Location: Vagina Gulch | Registered: April 08, 2013Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Cowbellist
Picture of Jefiner
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freeze those paintballs. That will leave a mark.

When I played lacrosse, we used to freeze the lacrosse balls. It was epic.


______________________________


"There is nothing here but enjoyment. It's a buffet of madness and quackery, mixed with a bit of crazed horn dogs and thingsthatgobumpinthenight. -- Traitor Vic
 
Posts: 3791 | Registered: August 15, 2014Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Picture of dissimulo
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Funny, but kind of suspicious that they just happened to have a camera pointed at the security video at the moment the guy showed up and had a paintball gun ready to go.
 
Posts: 2614 | Registered: April 13, 2007Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Fifth Column Freeper
Picture of MAXIMUS PANDAMONIUS
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We have a May-Day Red Alert: 23 dead. 500,000 displaced and fleeing the fires in Oregon.. Trump?
[link to www.dailymail.co.uk (secure)] - More towns are incinerated as the West Coast wildfire death toll rises to 23: 10% of Oregon's population is forced to evacuate and a heavy smog engulfs San Francisco as blazes that have already destroyed 4.4million acres keep spreading

10% of Oregon's entire population are running for their lives.

Get some help to Washington too so they don't end up in the same situation, for fuck's sake.


From GLP.COM
 
Posts: 10433 | Registered: September 24, 2009Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Fifth Column Freeper
Picture of MAXIMUS PANDAMONIUS
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Stay away from Las Vegas. Henry Gruver heard from the Lord that He is gathering the wicked to Vegas like a bundle of tares in a wheat field to be burned that the parable of the tares. In Jan 2006, a friend of mine also saw Vegas hit by a high-yield nuclear weapon and he did not know about Henry Gruver. There are certain cities where the Lord will call His people out of them before the city is destroyed but actually wants the wicked to go there.
Re: Downtown Las Vegas filled with Africans
Holy shit this country is fucked.
 
Posts: 10433 | Registered: September 24, 2009Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Fifth Column Freeper
Picture of MAXIMUS PANDAMONIUS
posted Hide Post
Message to CHIVOM.

_/..../.

-.-./..../.-/./.-.

./...

.-/--./.-/../-./.../-

-/..../.

.--/.-/.-../._..
 
Posts: 10433 | Registered: September 24, 2009Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Cowbellist
Picture of Jefiner
posted Hide Post
quote:
_/..../.

-.-./..../.-/./.-.

./...

.-/--./.-/../-./.../-

-/..../.

.--/.-/.-../._..

.--- --- .... -. .... .- ... .- .-.. --- -. --. -- ..- ... - .- -.-. .... .


______________________________


"There is nothing here but enjoyment. It's a buffet of madness and quackery, mixed with a bit of crazed horn dogs and thingsthatgobumpinthenight. -- Traitor Vic
 
Posts: 3791 | Registered: August 15, 2014Reply With QuoteReport This Post
Unruly Peasant

posted Hide Post
I arrived way late to this party.

Did certain members get a temporary ban for threatening/suggesting violent behavior?


"A man has choice to the extent that he is rational." Thomas Aquinas
 
Posts: 932 | Location: Pacific Northwest | Registered: July 07, 2003Reply With QuoteReport This Post



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